Murphy's Rules for TFT

[hcobb]

In TFT the Youth potion subtracts one year from a character's age.

The problem is that this potion is so difficult to make that even the most agile alchemist takes an average of 361 days to brew it.

Math here is 20 weeks divided by the chance of rolling 15 or less raised to the 20th power.

Clearly the top alchemist potions are brewed with DX 15 and a +2 charm. (91% chance of batch success, average time is 153 days because you can't tell a failed batch until the end.)

Initial investment: lab($10k), +2 charm($100k), book($2k)
Weekly: $50 cost of living plus $50 lab maint so $2k per batch
Batch start costs: $120k
Expected payoff: $364k

That's $242k net per batch (Pulling $12k a week.) And the first successful batch pays off all of your initial investment.