Gambling in 2100?

[Flaco76]

I could see a lot more futures betting on certain world events. Plus also the deadpool.

[Phil Masters]

Canonically, betting on future events - or at least treating making predictions about them as a game - can be and is used in-setting as a tool of futurology. (Weltspiel, in Broken Dreams.) As I recall, John Brunner got there first, some years ago.

[dcarson]

There was already at least one case where roulette was beaten by using image capture and predicting which quadrant the ball would stop in well enough to make the odds in the layers favor. Illegal now but when many have implanted computers hard to stop. I'd expect a change in rules close betting before the ball it thrown. I'd expect many games would end up with changes. Casinos can always move more games to the poker model where you don't paly against the house, it just hosts the game and takes a flat cut off betting.

[Flyndaran]

One issue of that "cheat" required identifying the human dealers that threw the balls with extreme predictability.

[Fred Brackin]

Originally Posted by Flyndaran

One issue of that "cheat" required identifying the human dealers that threw the balls with extreme predictability.

This segues into whether or not casinos will be allowed to ban people with VIIs because those will be able to catch dealers cheati9ng. The hand might be quicker than the eye but not the computer.

Casinos might have t0o go completely legit to keep former customers from going tot he gaming commission with freeze frames of the dealer dealing from the bottom of the deck.

Or maybe it's just he gaming commission that has an SAI at every table watching everyone. We know what the ho7yuse advantage written into the rules is but how much does it cut into their profits to actually have to limit themselves to that.

Then there's the effect of psych chips that treat Compulsive Gambling. Poor people might into get hem but rich people might have such a thing written into their employment contracts and one high roller is probably worth many many nickel slots.

Gambling might be a lot less lucrative in 2100.

[jeff_wilson]

Originally Posted by sir_pudding

Meh, you can learn on your smartphone right now, I don't think having the screen up against your eyeball instead makes any real difference.

Er, the second I is for implant, there's no screen.

Originally Posted by sir_pudding

It takes practice though, and a willingness to think like a mathematician instead of a gambler.

The "other assistive technologies" include immersive VR, offline (or online) coaching, adjustable speed with progressive acceleration, lots of scenarios to practice in, endlessly patient virtual dealers and players, ....

[sir_pudding]

Originally Posted by Phil Masters

A

Where Blackjack - random to casual play, susceptible to a certain kind of skill - falls is anyone's guess, but in any event, I too suspect it's a dead game by 2100. Implants and brainbugs would just make it too easy to become a card counter.

What's to stop casinos from just putting even more decks into the shoe and/or shuffling more often?

Originally Posted by jeff_wilson

Er, the second I is for implant, there's no screen.

I don't think it matters if there's a virtual screen either.

The "other assistive technologies" include immersive VR, offline (or online) coaching, adjustable speed with progressive acceleration, lots of scenarios to practice in, endlessly patient virtual dealers and players, ....

None of which makes you care enough to learn if you don't have any interest in it. It's something you can teach yourself now with a deck of cards at whatever speed you want. Most people don't do it.

[Phil Masters]

Originally Posted by sir_pudding

What's to stop casinos from just putting even more decks into the shoe and/or shuffling more often?

The ensuing tiresome and profitless arms race situation?

[jeff_wilson]

Originally Posted by sir_pudding

None of which makes you care enough to learn if you don't have any interest in it. It's something you can teach yourself now with a deck of cards at whatever speed you want. Most people don't do it.

"most people don't do it" is not a material objection since most people don't go to casinos at all. However, of the minority that do, the small minority that do learn to count cards with today's methods are still successful enough and common enough to be considered a problem by the casinos. Lowering the barrier to learning how to count cards by using 4W and 5W tech encourages the small minority to grow, which encourages the casinos' problem to grow.

[Fred Brackin]

[QUOTE=jeff_wilson;1667116 Lowering the barrier to learning how to count cards .[/QUOTE]

With a VII you don't need to "count cards" You can simply record every card displayed and run actual probability simulations. No need to learn a system for simplifying the process.

The casinos would probably not try and counter this with technical measures. It's simply easier to kick out the people who win too often and call it "cheating".