New Sci Fi Setting Seeds

Willy · 08-03-2022, 03:19 PM

Some ideas and thoughts about this scenario.

First a several decades long winter from a vulcanic catastrophe is always a possible scenario in the real world and it has has happened before. But you would have real cold temperatures maybe 6 or more °C less.

Second coal smoke also drops the local temperature a lot, in some real polluted european heavy industry areas, changing from coal to gas raised the local temperature by up to 3°C, just because of the smoke particles shielding the sunlight away, it worked also at a global scale. It is a discussed topic in climate scientists circles, that this smoke masked the coming climate catastrophe.

From this 2 things we could conclude several facts for your scenario.

The masked climare change can bring a even faster change from cold to hot, with all what comes from this, like destabilisation of nation for example.

A decade long crisis you describe would kill any known nation on earth!

Because if you lower the temperature the food production will break down nearly completely. Tambora created a year without summer and a food crisis, your scenario has a real chance to destroy the worlds breadbaskets until the little ice age is over. Border for effective farming of cereals will move several 100 km southward. Add a changed rain pattern and farmers all over the world will struggle to produce any surplus. And the world bread baskets supplied a lot of otherwise failed states, who will now break down. Their population wants food and will travel to the known farming areas.

The cold also make some region uninhabitable. Actually a lot of persons want to migrate ot US / Canada or europe, in your scenario the population from europe and US / canada will move southward. We speak here of several 100 million climate refugees.

Even fusion wouldn´t change that.

The food problem will lead to a massive die off, and the migration will lead to armed conflicts, luckily for the so called western nations the potential host nation have not enough firepower to stop them.

I guess if 10% of the actual global population are alive, once the weather changes again, humanity can be lucky.

08-03-2022, 03:19 PM	#11
Willy Join Date: Dec 2020	Re: New Sci Fi Setting Seeds Some ideas and thoughts about this scenario. First a several decades long winter from a vulcanic catastrophe is always a possible scenario in the real world and it has has happened before. But you would have real cold temperatures maybe 6 or more °C less. Second coal smoke also drops the local temperature a lot, in some real polluted european heavy industry areas, changing from coal to gas raised the local temperature by up to 3°C, just because of the smoke particles shielding the sunlight away, it worked also at a global scale. It is a discussed topic in climate scientists circles, that this smoke masked the coming climate catastrophe. From this 2 things we could conclude several facts for your scenario. The masked climare change can bring a even faster change from cold to hot, with all what comes from this, like destabilisation of nation for example. A decade long crisis you describe would kill any known nation on earth! Because if you lower the temperature the food production will break down nearly completely. Tambora created a year without summer and a food crisis, your scenario has a real chance to destroy the worlds breadbaskets until the little ice age is over. Border for effective farming of cereals will move several 100 km southward. Add a changed rain pattern and farmers all over the world will struggle to produce any surplus. And the world bread baskets supplied a lot of otherwise failed states, who will now break down. Their population wants food and will travel to the known farming areas. The cold also make some region uninhabitable. Actually a lot of persons want to migrate ot US / Canada or europe, in your scenario the population from europe and US / canada will move southward. We speak here of several 100 million climate refugees. Even fusion wouldn´t change that. The food problem will lead to a massive die off, and the migration will lead to armed conflicts, luckily for the so called western nations the potential host nation have not enough firepower to stop them. I guess if 10% of the actual global population are alive, once the weather changes again, humanity can be lucky.