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06-26-2022, 05:47 AM | #1 |
Join Date: Oct 2007
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Deindustrialized World3 22nd Century
This might make an interesting game background.
Assume the Club of Rome is right. Industrial Civilization collapses in a decade or two from resource depletion and pollution. Recoverable fissile and fossil fuels are depleted to insignificance (but other metals can be scavenged from the infrastructure). Climate is much warmer and, until the oceans catch up and can start evaporating water in equilibrium, drier. Even when the rainfall recovers (23rd Century?) it will be in different areas. What technology would we have, in particular? The internet I suppose is gone, but could shortwave radio be maintained, probably using crystal radios and hydroelectric powered broadcasting, for example? Any thoughts? |
06-26-2022, 06:29 AM | #2 | |
On Notice
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Sumter, SC
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Re: Deindustrialized World3 22nd Century
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The first half of James Burke's After the Warming (actual history part) talks about Lake Agassiz and how it triggered a change in only 70 years sending the Earth back into an ice age. The range of crystal radioes is not as extensive as modern radios and it could have issues but it might work.
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06-26-2022, 06:44 AM | #3 |
Join Date: May 2015
Location: Brazil
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Re: Deindustrialized World3 22nd Century
NO fossil fuels no ´plastics, he would go back to wild west at best to dark ages at worse!!
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06-26-2022, 06:57 AM | #4 |
Join Date: Mar 2016
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Re: Deindustrialized World3 22nd Century
By fissiles you mean uranium and the like, right? How could those possibly be depleted to insignificance, especially in only a matter of a few decades?
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06-26-2022, 08:25 AM | #5 |
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Lawrence, KS
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Re: Deindustrialized World3 22nd Century
I agree, especially if you take the possibility of thorium reactors into account. It's much more plausible to suppose that fissiles stop being used because of a quasi-religious prohibition.
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Bill Stoddard I don't think we're in Oz any more. |
06-26-2022, 10:04 AM | #6 | |
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: Brazil
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Re: Deindustrialized World3 22nd Century
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As we stand, dropping fossil fuels is madness, civilization would soon collapse short after. Fossil fuels arent just fuel and plastic, it's also fertilizers, and modern agriculture is an industrial activity. Current nuclear power is insuficient to replace fossil as we are right now - which has been an extreme short-sight from our divine overlords who dont care about anything except their personal power (that includes the "enlightened" ones at the Club of Rome and similar organizations such as the World Economic Forum who think they know what's best for us better than ourselves). Without fossil, industries would halt, agriculture would halt, famines would begin, and hungry people is people desperate and people that you dont control. Civilization collapse could be halted up to WW2 because of the empirial systems, the logistic chains were all internally contained; now pretty much only the USA has that capacity, so if globalization ends China goes into Oblivion, they'll have a famine that will kill 500 millions of people, Brazil breaks down, althought we wouldnt have a famine but we would deindustrialize and go back to the 19th century, Africa and Middle East would go back to the stone age and hundreds of millions would die and Europe would go back to the middle ages also would hundreds of millions of deaths. Oh, but before that there would be endless wars as countries fight for scraps. Now, as for the US, they can only survive because they now are self sufficient in oil. Take that away and there's no more industries, no more agriculture. And the notion of a small group of army personnel under the government keeping a piece of civilization so that it can flourish back again is mostly a fantasy. Ok, lets assume the USA keeps one Nuclear Powerplant under it's thumb in hopes to rebuild after the "Fallout" setting strikes the world. Well, they'll need soldiers and guns to protect what they have from the hordes of hungry nomads. Well, it just so happens that soldiers eat but dont produce food. So you'll need farms, lands and soldiers to protect those. The electricity you'll need for making vehicles to transport the goods, machines to produce the manufacture and the food, and the guns, since all of those need replacement. But in order to make those, you need mines of raw minerals. Sometimes some essentials will be hard to come by - like rubber for the tires. And on top of that, you need skilled people - you need engineers, nuclear physicists, agronomers and more, all people with skills that need years to develop, and in order to do that you need surplus of food, clothes in order for those people to dedicate themselves to study rather than hunting or growing their food. It cannot be done. And all that without the practicity of plastics - more so to the industry rather than daily life. Bio plastic requires even more specialized knowledge and is far harder to produce than plastic from petroleum, so it's not a viable alternative for a post-economic-apocalipse society. Without oil, it all ends, and in just a few decades or centuries at best, we are back to the middle ages. |
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06-26-2022, 06:16 PM | #7 |
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: West Virginia
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Re: Deindustrialized World3 22nd Century
Good point! And Thorium would be explored as well, and it is far more abundant than uranium.
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Per Ardua Per Astra! Ancora Imparo |
06-26-2022, 08:08 AM | #8 |
Join Date: Jun 2017
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Re: Deindustrialized World3 22nd Century
Work has been done to develop plastics made from biologic sources, so I assume plastics would still be possible unless other factors prevented it.
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06-26-2022, 10:08 AM | #9 | |
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: Brazil
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Re: Deindustrialized World3 22nd Century
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06-27-2022, 01:44 AM | #10 | |
On Notice
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Sumter, SC
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Re: Deindustrialized World3 22nd Century
Quote:
More over Tropical rain forest thrived throughout last Ice Age states "These data will come as quite a shock to many paleoclimatologists,” said Paul A. Colinvaux, a research scientist at the University of Michigan Center for Great Lakes and Aquatic Sciences and senior scientist at the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute in Panama. “They contradict the widespread belief that a drier climate during the last Ice Age turned the Amazon lowlands into a savanna with isolated pockets of rain forest.” It is like how we view fossilized animals. The "Shrink-wrapping" fossilization produces results in reconstructions whose resemblance to what the thing looked like in life next to nil.
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